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- Bitcoin & Crypto Rip on Ceasefire News
Bitcoin & Crypto Rip on Ceasefire News
PLUS: Wall Street Just Got a New Bitcoin Bull
Welcome back to The Warmup.
We don’t know if we’re shorting Trump’s announcements or if these pumps are actually legit and holding longer than a day.
Here’s what we’re watching:
Market Snapshot
Bitcoin & Crypto Rip on Ceasefire News
Tesla Short Setup
Wall Street Just Got a New Bitcoin Bull
Market: Markets are rising across the board with crypto leading, stocks up, volatility falling, and a weaker dollar supporting risk assets.
Bitcoin & Crypto Rip on Ceasefire News
Source: The White House
What’s going on:
Geopolitics just flipped the script.
On Tuesday evening, ninety minutes before a self-imposed strike deadline, Donald Trump announced a “double sided CEASEFIRE” between the US and Iran.
The deal pauses military action for two weeks, with one key condition: Iran must reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately.
Iran accepted fast. Officials confirmed they’ll halt operations and allow passage through Hormuz, with Israel also reportedly on board.
Markets didn’t hesitate.
Bitcoin ripped from below $68K to $72.7K.
Oil dumped over 20% as supply fears eased.
Nasdaq up 3.5% and the Dow adding over 1,000 points.
This basically erased the panic selloff triggered earlier that same day.
What it means:
This isn’t peace. It’s a pause. But it might be enough.
Reopening Hormuz is the real catalyst here. Lower oil means lower inflation pressure, which gives the Fed breathing room.
And when macro pressure drops, risk assets like crypto tend to fly.
The clock is ticking on this two-week window.
If tensions stay contained and liquidity conditions improve, this could be the spark that sends crypto into its next leg up.
Tesla Short Setup
What’s going on:
TSLA broke down from a triangle and is now stuck in a clean descending channel. Price keeps making lower highs and lower lows.
Key levels we’re watching:
Support: $340
Resistance: $380
Target: $300
Invalidation: Above $400
Directional Bias: Bearish
What we’re waiting for:
Shorts at current levels or weak bounces
Rejections at resistance
Volume confirming continuation
Wall Street Just Got a New Bitcoin Bull
Source: Bloomberg
What’s going on:
A major new player just entered the game.
Morgan Stanley officially launched its Bitcoin ETF, MSBT, on the NYSE Arca after getting the green light from the SEC.
And here’s the kicker… it’s the cheapest one on the market.
MSBT comes in with a 0.14% fee, undercutting competitors like BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity Investments’s FBTC, both sitting at 0.25%.
They’re even waiving fees entirely on the first $5B for six months.
But the real story isn’t just the fee. It’s distribution.
Morgan Stanley has around 16,000 financial advisors and $9.3 trillion in assets under management.
And last year, their Global Investment Committee already told advisors to consider allocating up to 4% of portfolios to crypto.
Now those same advisors have an in-house product to push.
What it means:
This is how adoption scales.
It’s one thing to have ETFs available. It’s another when one of the biggest wealth managers in the world starts actively plugging it into client portfolios.
Lower fees + trusted brand + built-in distribution = serious inflow potential.
If even a small percentage of those portfolios move toward that 4% allocation target, that’s a massive amount of capital flowing into Bitcoin.
The Biggest Wealth Shift Is Already Happening
Most people still think AI is just a tool.
Something for emails, productivity, or random use cases.
But that’s exactly how early shifts look… right before they reprice everything.
This video breaks down why AI is already triggering a massive capital rotation, where software gets disrupted, infrastructure explodes, and the real winners are being decided right now across energy, data centers, and “picks and shovels” plays.
If you’re thinking in years, not weeks, this is the kind of shift you position for early or regret later.
👉 Access to alpha research with Kaizen Pro
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Does the ceasefire send crypto higher? |
Bitcoin isn’t trading on fundamentals right now, it’s trading on uncertainty.
The market is stuck in a holding pattern where macro risk completely outweighs even the most bullish crypto-specific news.
Until the war de-escalates, even major catalysts like regulation will struggle to sustain upside.
But once uncertainty clears, there’s likely a sharp repricing as sidelined capital rushes back into risk assets.
— The Warmup Team
Always do your own research. This newsletter is supplemental material to help educate readers as they make their own decisions. Projects mentioned here are provided to give a potential early-mover advantage.